Budget 2026: what it means for you and your business —

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Featured insight

The 2026/27 economic outlook

Slower growth, stubborn costs — and what it means for your business

The UK will keep growing, but slowly, with inflation rising again and interest rates likely to go up before they come down. We’ve translated the latest forecasts into what matters for owner-managed businesses, landlords, care providers, charities and professional firms — and what to do before April 2027.

1–1.3%

UK growth forecasts 2026

1.2%

Average UK growth forecast 2027

3.5%

Inflation, September 2026

3.75%

Bank Rate today — 4% expected in November

Published 26 October 2026, ahead of the Budget on 28 October. We’ll update it once the measures are announced.

Sources: HM Treasury, ONS, Bank of England and British Chambers of Commerce. See the article for full sources.

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